Over Under Basketball Betting Strategy

During the basketball season bettingexpert’s top hoops tipsters will supply expert predictions across a wide range of basketball betting markets including: Game Result (or Moneyline), Points Spread, First Quarter/Half Points Odd/Even, First Point Scored and Winning Margin, as well as competition Outright bets.As expected, all of bettingexpert’s basketball betting tips. How To Bet NBA Over Under. Given its high scoring nature, another popular NBA bet type is Over Under basketball betting, also known as point totals, or just totals. What is a NBA Over Under bet? While point spreads can be a little confusing to the unintiated, Over Under betting. Free College Basketball Totals Picks (Over/Under) The other main NCAAB wager is the totals which is simply betting over or under a set number of points in a game. This market is seen to be one of the. Check (And Double Check) The Starting Lineup. As you know, a team’s starting lineup is. You see sports betting and basketball betting are not about making one or two bets a year and calling it a day. They are about a long term strategy that produces a consistent profit. Let’s say we make ten $100.

Here you will find the best NBA picks as well as parlays for all of today's games. All of our expert NBA predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated daily so bookmark this page.

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/3/2021

The Golden State Warriors are set to take on the Phoenix Suns at Phoenix Suns Arena on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Phoenix opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 223.5. We have included an expert NBA pick and parlay for todays game ATS.

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/3/2021

The Detroit Pistons are on the docket to meet the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The spread on this contest has New York as 6-point favorites. The total opens at 223. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Blazers Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021

The Sacramento Kings are scheduled to play the Portland Blazers at Moda Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this contest have Portland as 5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 237. This report has odds and your NBA predictions for todays game against the spread.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/3/2021

The Miami Heat are scheduled to meet the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Miami opens this contest as 1.5-point dogs. The O/U has been set at 227. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/3/2021

The Denver Nuggets are set to go head to head with the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Denver opens this contest as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 225.5. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/3/2021

The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the docket to meet the San Antonio Spurs at AT&T Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this matchup have San Antonio as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 225.5. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NBA basketball pick for your daily winner.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021

The Milwaukee Bucks are scheduled to meet the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Milwaukee opens this matchup as 6-point favorites. The total opens at 237. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Washington Wizards Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/3/2021

The Los Angeles Clippers are on the docket to play the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The spread on this game has Los Angeles as 9.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 231. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game.

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021

The Toronto Raptors are scheduled to meet the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this contest have Boston as 8-point favorites. The over/under opens at 217. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021

The Detroit Pistons are on the docket to meet the Toronto Raptors at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Detroit opens this game as 9.5-point underdogs. The O/U is set at 215. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021

The Utah Jazz are set to take on the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Utah opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 223. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.

Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021

The Charlotte Hornets are scheduled to play the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The line on this contest has Charlotte as 2.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 227. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.

Chicago Bulls vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021

The Chicago Bulls are set to meet the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The spread on this contest has New Orleans as 5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 236. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NBA basketball pick for your daily winner.

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021

The Atlanta Hawks are on the docket to play the Orlando Magic at Amway Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Atlanta opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 224. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021

The Los Angeles Lakers are set to play the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The odds on this contest have Los Angeles as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 231. This game report has an NBA basketball pick, betting odds, and trends for tonights key matchup.

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/2/2021

The Brooklyn Nets are on the docket to take on the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Houston opens this matchup as 7.5-point underdogs. The total opens at 233. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Blazers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021

The Golden State Warriors are on the docket to meet the Portland Blazers at Moda Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Portland opens this game as 1-point dogs. The over/under is set at 235. This report has odds and your NBA predictions for todays game against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/2/2021

The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the docket to go head to head with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Dallas opens this contest as 8.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 222. We have included an expert NBA pick and parlay for todays game ATS.

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021

The Indiana Pacers are set to meet the Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Cleveland opens this contest as 6.5-point underdogs. The O/U is set at 215.5. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game.

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 3/2/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/1/2021

The Denver Nuggets are on the docket to take on the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum on Tuesday, March 2, 2021. The odds on this game have Milwaukee as 7-point favorites. The O/U is set at 235.5. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.

Please note that the NBA picks above for tonight's games are not computer based picks. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service@docsports.com

NBA Picks

The NBA is considered by many to be the best league for sports betting. Yes, the NFL is king in terms of popularity and wagering volume per game but nothing beats NBA basketball over the course of a season. Why? There are many opportunities to make NBA picks every night. NBA lines move more often and are not as sharp as football lines which are under the microscope all week. NBA odds have a much shorter lifespan meaning there are greater opportunities to find value. That gives Doc's basketball handicappers exponentially more opportunities to offer daily free NBA picks and be even more selective when offering expert NBA picks.

Free NBA Picks and Expert Predictions

You can find Free NBA picks throughout the Doc's Sports network including this free NBA predictions page; on our Doc's NBA Experts page; and on the Youtube channels of our expert NBA handicappers. We now also have a very popular NBA video section that is updated daily with several videos during the NBA season. Check the video link on the top navigation. Those ready to take advantage of our Free $60 in member selections can click the button at the top of this page and start receiving free expert predictions.

Get your NBA Picks Today, and Everyday!

Doc's offers expert NBA picks today and every day of the NBA season! Sure, there are the days when the NBA card consists of only tanking teams competing for the right to draft the next Zion Williamson. These teams are bad and their competition for an audience is Seinfeld reruns or maybe getting an extra hour of sleep. At Doc's we don't see this as trash basketball, we see this as a huge opportunity to make money...on trash basketball. Each day during the basketball season is an opportunity to make valuable and profitable predictions

NBA Picks Against the Spread

Most NBA bettors are going to make NBA picks against the spread. This is also known as NBA picks ATS. Sportsbooks give each NBA team a handicap of X amount of points. That means if books think the Lakers are 4 points better than the Celtics they will offer a line of Lakers -4. If a Doc's handicapper has reason to believe the Lakers are much more than 4 points better, his pick against the spread would be to take the Lakers -4. This is how all bets on the spread work unless bookmakers consider both teams to be evenly matched, in which case the line is a pick, AKA pick'em. At Doc's the majority of our NBA selections are against the spread. However, there can be outstanding value on betting NBA totals.

NBA Over/Under Picks

The pace of the game, as well as which team dictates the pace, is a key factor when handicapping basketball games. When pace is an especially strong signal, it may dictate a pick on the over/under. An NBA over/under pick is another way of referring to a prediction on an NBA game point total. NBA total lines are usually well above 200 in today's NBA making them harder for the betting public to find value. For example, the 2004 Detroit Pistons team was very consistently within 5 points of the 90 they averaged. In today's NBA, greater scoring means greater variance. However, professional basketball handicappers can use this to their advantage as the sportsbooks also try to keep track of the higher scoring NBA totals. Doc's sports NBA total picks are some of the best in the business and our total prediction write-ups are insightful. Along with offering our NBA expert picks, we provide free selections that are intended to help bettors with their handicapping legwork.

NBA Parlay Picks

Parlay picks are sucker bets they say! Never bet and NBA parlay they say! Bettors that speak in these absolutes clearly haven't learned how to find value betting basketball. Sure, the payout on parlays at most sportsbooks have gone down to the point where putting two of your picks together for the sake of winning more is not a good investment. But what if your parlay picks could be made on the same game? That is called a correlated NBA parlay. Many sportsbooks offer the ability to make NBA bets against the spread and total in the same game. So if you have a great read on a game and expect one team to quit and fall behind, you may decide to make an NBA parlay prediction. At Doc's our experts will offer a free parlay pick in rare cases. It is not common because we need to find value for our customers on both lines before they move. If our parlay prediction is indeed on the same game, we need to confirm there is value regardless of the fact that you can't line shop the odds on a parlay. Both bets in a parlay must be made at the same sportsbook. If there is a free selection on the total over of -14 and under 200 it was offered knowing that those lines can be found at most Las Vegas sportsbooks and online.

NBA Playoff Predictions

Once the regular season is over the NBA tends to resemble the national football league in many ways. Bettors have much more time to make their NBA playoff picks as teams travel to each other's arenas and rest between series. Making successful NBA playoff predictions is as much about when you bet as it is who you bet on. A series might not start for days. That means an NBA spread may move quite a few points especially as the public bets closer to the action. If we see value in a playoff prediction it will rely heavily on getting the line we are quoting in said NBA pick. In the words of the great Tony George, 'We are betting numbers, not teams!' That may not be more relevant than when making picks on the NBA playoff games.

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As one of the most popular sports to bet, sports bettors have been making
money on basketball for years and show no signs of letting up anytime soon.
While the sport itself is simple and the bets on the sports are also simple, the
strategy can sometimes be a bit confusing knowing where to start. Ultimately,
you will probably develop your own strategy to beat the books, but we can help
by giving you some tips to get you headed in the right direction to “making some
serious coin.” It’s our understanding that is how the cool kids say making
money.

The best way to utilize these strategy suggestions is to use them as a guide
for developing your complete betting strategy. While most of them are meant to
be taken literally, it’s important to remember that they are meant to be a piece
of your overall strategy, not the entire strategy. These tips should work
hand in hand with your own strategies and should help to direct the way your
mind works to develop your strategy. Basically, don’t let one tip below be the
only way you pick your bets. Use them as pieces of a more comprehensive betting
strategy based on your knowledge base.

Points in the Paint vs. 3-Pointers

Paying attention to how a team makes most of their points can be important
when looking at consistency. A team that relies heavily on 3-point baskets is
great, but it’s a lot easier to go cold on shooting 3-pointers than it is on
posting up and driving to the basket.

Keep this in mind when looking to pick game winners as well as if you are
making bracket bets for the tournament in college basketball. The winning team
in the NCAA tournament is almost never a team that makes most of their points
from beyond the arc. Those teams are great to look at for upsets, but not for
long-term consistency and deep runs.

Check the Team’s Schedule

Fatigue plays a huge role in the success of teams in basketball. Unlike
sports like football, teams play a lot of games and their schedules vary, often
with multiple games throughout the week. Take a look at how many games the team
has played recently and if they’re on a long road trip or something like that.
If a team is playing their fourth game in five days, you can bet that they’re
going to be tired which means they’ll be slower and less likely to perform well.

Looking at the location of these games is also important as away/road games
will definitely take a bigger toll on a team’s energy. Also, look at how far
they have to travel for their games. If they are going cross country back and
forth for every game, the travel is going to wear on them even more. You should
also take a look at what point it is in their season as the effects of this
don’t usually start coming in as heavily until after the first quarter of the
season. The later in the season it is, the more this is going to be an issue and
the more opportunities it will create for you.

Road Favorites After a Blowout Loss

A popular betting strategy is to take a look at teams that are favored in an
away game after getting blown out in their previous game. These teams are
clearly strong enough in talent to be still favored on the road after a big loss
which means they have a lot of actual talent and substance that the oddsmakers
still like.

These teams are also going to be fired up after getting embarrassed.
Teams that have been blown out by 15 or more points and are still road favorites
in their next game have covered the spread over 60% of the time in the last 10
years.

Big Home Underdogs

No one likes to lose at home in front of their own fans. This seems to be
true when it comes to basketball as well. Teams have a strong tendency to cover
the spread when they are big underdogs (10+ points) at home.

A lot of this has
to do with the emotional desire to impress at home, and a lot of it has to do
with the other team usually letting off when they’re up quite a few points.
They’ll put in second stringers and rest their big names because it only matters
to them if they win, not by how many points. Even though we care about the
spread, teams playing the game do not. A win is a win, and a loss is a loss to
them.

Watch for Moving Lines

Football Betting Over Under

One of the best ways to dominate sports betting of any kind is to recognize
that there are experts out there who are practical geniuses at sports betting.
If you’re one of them, this won’t affect you as much, although it always helps
to know what the other experts are doing. If you see a line moving one direction
after the public has bet heavily on the other side, you’re probably witnessing
the experts taking advantage of the uneducated public.

Historically, the general public has not been very smart when it comes to
sports betting. They bet with their heart instead of their head way too often
and are too eager to jump on trends that don’t mean anything. There’s a reason
sports books are so profitable. This creates a lot of opportunities for the
expert bettors. Here’s what we mean with an oversimplified example.

Let’s say the Orlando Magic are -6 points to win a game and they’re playing
the Knicks. All the sports outlets and the media start talking about how great
and underrated the Knicks are, and the public starts betting heavily on them.
The line moves quickly to the Magic -3 reflecting all of the public betting on
the Knicks. If you start to see the line moving back the other direction, like
back to Magic -4, you are probably witnessing the smart money taking advantage
of the public’s over-eagerness to get on trends. When you see this, you should
bet with the experts.

If you see a line moving one way and you think it’s way off because the
public is betting based on their hearts and popularity, definitely bet the other
direction. You may still want to wait a little bit to see if it moves any
further in what you think is the wrong direction. For example, in the above
example, after the public starts betting what you think is incorrect, the line
will move from Magic -6 to Magic -5. You could bet it right then if you think
it’s now a great bet or you could wait and see what happens. If the public keeps
betting it, the line will move further and further in your favor making your bet
much more attractive. The worst thing that can happen is the line corrects back
to its original point, and then you just don’t bet on that game. You can also
bet the game at -5 and then bet it again if it moves further if you think
they’re both good bets.

Finding the perfect timing to jump on moving lines is an art form and one you
will have to perfect as you go along. We also want to make sure to point out
that just because a line moves does not mean you have to bet on the game. You
should really only bet on the game if it fits with your strategy and you think
it is a good pick. You also want to be careful to make sure that the line
movement is from the experts correcting bad betting by the public, not the other
way around. The sportsbooks are great about putting out good lines, but they do
make mistakes. If they put out a bad line, the experts will start betting it
immediately, and it will correct quickly. Don’t confuse this with the public
incorrectly moving the line.

To make this all easier, here are some quick tips to go along with this
strategy.

• Know WHY the line is moving. Don’t just bet because it moved.
• Only bet if you think the new line is a good bet. Don’t just bet because it
  moved.
• You don’t have to wait to jump on a bad line, but timing and waiting can be
  beneficial as well.
• Sportsbooks are wise, but they still make mistakes too.
• Sometimes the public will be right.

Watch Out for Your Favorites

We mentioned a few times above that we can find opportunities to take
advantage of the betting public’s willingness to bet with their heart instead of
their head. The obvious caveat to that is that we don’t want ever to be the ones
that other people are taking advantage of. The best way to do this is to be
careful when we
look to bet our favorite teams and be careful who we get news
and advice from and how we choose to interpret it. Let’s look at each of these
briefly.

We all always want our favorite team to win. Because of this, our brains work
to find the ways that it is possible, even if it is not probable. This is great
when you are being a fan because it gives you hope and can make the game
watching experience much more enjoyable. As a sports bettor, though, it can
spell impending doom. This improbable hope can cut into your profits if you let
it bleed into your picks and strategy. The best advice is probably to avoid
betting your favorite teams unless you are sure of something with your strategy.
It’s tough to be unbiased, and there are usually a ton of other games to choose
from.

The second thing we mentioned is being careful who you get advice and news
from and how you choose to interpret it. The public loves to glamorize stories
and underdogs, and they are professionals when it comes to hyping up games that
might not actually be as close as they say it might be. It’s important for
you not to get caught up in these stories and let it affect your betting
strategy. The best way to protect yourself against this is to be careful of
where you get your news and information from and make your picks as independent
of other people’s opinions first. After you have made your pick, you can reach
out to others and read other opinions and see if it changes the way you have
chosen to bet. Just don’t let it control you and don’t become a member of the
dreaded “general betting public.”

Cherry Pick Your Games for Value

It is no secret that the odds makers are good at what they do. Most of the
lines they put out are going to be spot on and will make finding value a
challenge. That doesn’t mean that value does not exist. When there are lots of
games going on, it’s much more likely that you might be able to find some lines
with mistakes in them. Smaller games in popularity are also going to have less
time spent on setting their lines. There really is no secret to when to try and
find bad lines. The key is to have a strategy in place that helps you spot these
lines and take advantage of them.

One of the best ways to do this is to set up a system to where you determine
what you think the line on the game will be BEFORE you actually look at the
lines. Then you can bet on the games that look to have value to you. For
example, let’s say you are going to be betting NBA games and you want to bet
three games. You pick the following games

• UNLV vs. Gonzaga
• Florida vs. South Carolina
• Miami vs. Duke

Now, BEFORE you look at the lines and point spreads on these games you work
your strategy and try and figure out what you think the spreads should be. You
determine the following:

Online Betting Over Under

• You think UNLV will lose by 6 points.
• You think Florida will win by 4 points.
• You think Miami will lose by 2 points.

So if you were the odds maker, you would set the lines at:

• UNLV +6
• Florida -4
• Miami +2

When you check the actual lines at the sportsbook, you see the following:

• UNLV + 8
• Florida -4
• Miami +1

In this situation, you would do the following:

1. Bet on UNLV because they can lose by eight points according to the
   book instead of the six you think they’re going to lose by. You think that
   UNLV will do better than what the oddsmakers think.
2. Don’t bet on the second game because you think the line is correct.
3. Bet on Duke because they only need to win by one point instead of the
   two that you think they are going to. You think that Duke will do better
   than what the oddsmakers think.

The point here is to determine how you think the teams will do and what you
think the spread should be before you look at what the book has posted. This
will protect you from being influenced by what they predict and will also make
it much easier to spot value bets.

Check the Lineups

This is a fairly basic tip that unfortunately is ignored way too often. When
you’re betting on games, make sure to check injury reports and rosters before
you make your wager.

Let’s say you see the Golden State Warriors
are playing a game and are only -2 to win against the Knicks. You think this is
an incredible value and can’t believe the book would post such an awful line.
What you forgot to look up, though, is that Steph Curry, their star player, is
out along with two other starters. This happens a lot especially with long
seasons and a lot of games to be played.

Make sure that the players you are
banking on to help you win your bet are actually slated to play in the game. It
only takes a few minutes and can save you a lot of money in the long run.